What is the probability to be infected by the coronavirus in everyday life?

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2020-04-15 21:40:11

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What is the probability to be infected by the coronavirus in everyday life? Source:

This is some madness! Today on all sides we are bombarded by an avalanche of information about the coronavirus, which often contradict each other. To the ordinary person it is almost impossible to separate the wheat from the chaff. Scholars of all stripes make contradicting statements, and we only have to choose a position that is closer to or go mad from the flood of information. This is the flip side of availability of information. To date, there is no single authority which would be recognized by all, and who would be the authority in providing information. Even the who was criticized by the American authorities and lost funding from their side. So how to behave when you go outside and are forced to interact with people or objects that relate to people? Let us think and try to find a solution which would take into account the opinion of all scientists.

Today, there are two hypotheses: first — is that the coronavirus is held on the surface of objects from one to five days. In principle, this version is considered official, and with it all governments do that disinfect various surfaces in towns (you've probably seen many videos on this topic). But there is an alternative view that argues that the virus that was on the surface was no longer a threat and is in a dead state.

To Determine which scientists are right, we can't. Logic dictates that both may be true. Too few studies have been made on this point, to be sure, one of the positions.

However, let's be reasonable. If half of the scientists claims that the coronavirus can be transmitted through household items — we need to listen to it. When it struck China — the percentage of mortality was about 3%. Take a look at the statistics today. EU, USA and Russia show a mortality rate of 10%.

Another aspect — social distancing. Today in the world it is considered that a distance of 1.5-2 meters is optimal to prevent the spread of coronavirus. But is it really? Let's think.

Run time of the coronavirus

So imagine that you are Jogging during a pandemic. You run through the Park and observe a distance of 1.5 meters from the front of the treadmill. It would seem that you comply with all the requirements of the who and the government, but there is one «but». If the front runner coughs or sneezes, you will achieve it «aerosol cloud» for 1-2 seconds. It will be sufficient that the virus got to you on a mucous membrane (eyes, mouth, nose) and you contracted it. Researchers are advised to observe at least four metres when Jogging, but this may not be enough.

With regard to surfaces that we have touched, the matter is still not understood. Are we able to get touching the escalator handrail or opening the door in a public place? The answer is no. Today it is known only one thing, that the virus can enter the body through mucous membranes (nose, mouth, eyes). If we are able to protect themselves from the spreading of coronavirus, it is likely to develop not so much.

However, the problem of information overload will not go away. Each of us is faced with the fact that their relatives or loved ones were off in the WhatsApp chat (for some reason this is the trash for these messages) vidosic or message about how to «the world is heading into the abyss» (in different interpretations). Turn your head and analyze the majority of no one wants, it's not interesting. Far easier to send these messages further on my contact list and to sow panic in my head.

If you want not only to read but also to discuss latest news in the world of high technology — welcome to

I don't know when and how to end the current situation, and nobody knows. But now the important thing to maintain a sober and cool head, not reacting to provocations. Everything passes and this will pass. The only question is, how dignified we will move the current situation and what bonuses we will come out of it.

How to protect yourself during a pandemic?

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